Date: 14 Dec 2006 12:48:25
From: OneMore
Subject: One More Hand Poker commentary: sixes out of position
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Theis commentary is of real hands played on line and how they were played. All cards are visible giving great insight into how your oppponents think and play. Hand Details: Larry is still picking up blinds with preflop raises. Sometimes he is obviously bluffing we saw last time that he raised with pocket tens, here he is in late position with suited rags, there are no raises ahead of him (Olaf opts not to try and protect his low pair) and he limps in. Four people see the flop. Olaf , Dave Larry and Stu. For table image and odds see http://onemorehand.com/?p=13 Play by Play: The flop of Ad 2d 8h gives Stu a weak middle pair. Stu, Olaf and Dave check. Larry senses weakness and bets out $40. Stu folds his winning pair, Olaf gives up his low pair and Dave sends his cards to the muck. Larry has executed a classic bluff a losing hand putting $85 in his pocket. Larry is obviously an aggressive player, but to be truly aggressive you need to be able to read weakness and have a good ability to read the other players and figure out what cards they might have. If you get it wrong you might walk into a huge trap. There might be a few players at this table who have the ability to set that trap. Odds: This is a strange hand. There are few high cards and their presence raises the value of the hands that hold them. Larry's hand seems marginal but the fact that there are nine clubs outstanding and the nine is the fourth highest card on the table raises the value of the hand significantly. Olaf's hand is another anomaly (bear in mind that we are looking at the value of all hands should we deal to the river with everyone in the hand) the odds of a higher pair if everyone stays in are enough to make the sixes negligible given that both the remaining sixes have already been dealt. Limping with a low pair is not often a good idea. You have to narrow your competition to increase the value of your pair. I have put the odds preflop (post the betting round) when we have four players about to see the flop and Olaf's hand suddenly has a lot more value.
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